Service Plays Thursday 9/23/10

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Thank you, wilheim




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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday's Streaking And Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking
Ryan Dempster (14-10, 3.50 ERA), Chicago Cubs

Dempster hasn’t allowed a run over his last two starts, a pair of seven-inning wins. He dropped Milwaukee 1-0 on Sept. 11, giving up three hits while striking out two and then beat the Florida Marlins 2-0 in his last start. Dempster allowed four hits and struck out five in that outing. He has allowed more than four runs in only two of his last 20 starts.

Slumping

Sean O’Sullivan (2-6, 6.58 ERA), Kansas City Royals

O’Sullivan has allowed 21 runs and eight long flies over his last four starts. He hasn’t pitched past the fifth inning in any of those outings and is coming off a 6-4 loss against Cleveland. O’Sullivan allowed five runs and six hits over 68 pitches through four innings and has just one win in 11 starts for K.C. since coming over from the Yankees in late-July.

Dallas Braden (9-13, 3.65 ERA), Oakland Athletics

Braden has dropped four straight starts heading into Thursday’s matchup with the Texas Rangers. He took a hard-luck loss against the Yankees to start the slide, allowing only one run over five innings in a 5-0 loss. Since then he has deserved each of the next three losses, allowing at least four runs in all of them.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HOT LINES

Thursday's Best MLB Bets

St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates (-120, 9)

As the St. Louis Cardinals play out the rest of their schedule, life on the road gets more difficult by the day. The Cardinals have dropped 13 of their last 18 games as visitors and haven’t won a road series since they swept the Reds in Cincinnati Aug. 9-11.Their offense has been a major problem, with the club being held to two or fewer runs in nine of those 18 games.

"We're trying to win," Colby Rasmus told reporters after Tuesday’s loss to the Pirates. "Coming out tonight trying to win. Yesterday, we tried to win. We just can't seem to put a finger on what's going on. I just chalk it up to baseball. Nobody's coming in here wanting to lose. Everybody wants to do good. We just ain't got no mojo right now."

St. Louis is now 31-45 this season on the road.

Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates


Houston Astros at Washington Nationals (-125, 8.5)

The Houston Astros could be without two of their starting outfielders again on Thursday. Speedy center fielder Michael Bourn has missed the last three games with a strained right oblique and Hunter Pence sat out Wednesday’s game after leaving Tuesday’s game with a right hip flexor problem. He felt discomfort while running out a groundball in the top of the first inning.

"It wasn't serious, but when you tweak something like that, you can't run through it. It's impossible," Pence said after the game. "So I knew that I wasn't going to be capable to sprint again. I'd have to jog, and that's not acceptable."

Houston is 4-9 in its last 13 games in Washington.

Pick: Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bettors’ Best Friend (BBF): Thursday’s Wagering Tips

Lines To Watch

Pitt opened as a 3.5 point underdog hosting Miami with the total at 54, but is now listed at +4 with a 50-point total.

Weather To Watch

Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians – 30 percent chance of isolated thunderstorms.
Florida Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers – 30 percent chance of isolated thunderstorms.

Who’s Hot

Pitt Panthers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.
San Francisco Giants are 8-2 in their last 10 road games.
Colorado Rockies are 20-8 in their last 28 overall.

Who’s Not

St. Louis Cardinals are 9-19 in their last 28.
Seattle Mariners are 24-49 in their last 73.
Houston Astros are 4-9 in their last 13 meetings in Washington.
Kansas City Royals are 7-23 in their last 30 road games.
San Diego Padres are 8-17 in their last 25.

Key Stat

262 – Total yards the Miami Hurricanes are giving up per game, good for 15th in the nation.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Darrelle Revis (hamstring), New York Jets – Revis is expected to miss two games with his hamstring, putting Antonio Cromartie in the hot seat this week. He’ll likely draw the assignment of covering Brandon Marshall when the Jets head into Miami as 1.5-point underdogs.

Game Of The Day

Miami Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Panthers

Notable Quotable

"What I mentioned to the team was that, quite honestly, I'm basically tired of dealing with some of these issues. I'm tired of the embarrassment to the owner; as I feel, it's an embarrassment to our owner and this organization.” – Jets coach Rex Ryan on Braylon Edwards’ DWI arrest earlier this week. Edwards will not start in the Sunday Nighter against Miami, but will play eventually.

Tips And Notes

The middle of Pitt’s offensive line remains a major concern as the Panthers get set to host the Miami Hurricanes and their speedy defense. Pitt has been practicing with redshirt freshman center Jack Lippert taking most of the snaps with Alex Karabin banged up. Guards Chris Jacobson and Greg Gaskins haven’t been able to open up much room for sophomore running back Dion Lewis, who has 102 yards on 35 carries so far this season.

Oakland Raiders quarterback Bruce Gradkowski will start again this weekend against the Arizona Cardinals as four-point underdogs. Gradkowski stepped in for Jason Campbell last week and was 11 of 22 for 165 yards and a touchdown in a 16-14 win over the St. Louis Rams.

After Philadelphia Eagles coach Andy Reid named Mike Vick his starter for this week’s road game against Jacksonville, he won’t dismiss the idea that Kevin Kolb could be traded ahead of the league’s Oct. 19 trade deadline. The Cleveland Browns have already come calling about Kolb, but were told he wasn’t available – at least not yet.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Miami At Pittsburgh: What Bettors Need To Know

Miami Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Panthers (+3.5, 50)

Talent-wise, Miami wasn’t overwhelmed by Ohio State in a 36-24 loss to the Buckeyes on Sept. 11. Pitt doesn’t have Buckeye-talent.

The Hurricanes (1-1) head to Heinz Field as 3.5-point favorites over the banged-up Panthers (1-1), who will be without their best player, defensive end Greg Romeus, Thursday night.

But Miami’s talent advantage won’t matter, if the ’Canes continue to turn the ball over. Quarterback Jacory Harris threw four picks against Ohio State. Miami is ranked 118th in the nation in turnover margin. The Panthers’ defense has created four turnovers this season.

Pittsburgh sophomore quarterback Tino Sunseri has been solid, but also has thrown an interception in each of his first two starts. The offensive line hasn’t afforded him much time in the pocket, a major concern against an aggressive Miami defense.

HOW THEY ENTER

Both of these teams were picked as favorites to win their conferences. But both have suffered deflating early losses. The Panthers opened the season with a 27-24 overtime defeat on the road at what looks like a good Utah squad.

Overall, these are two similar programs trying to take the next step into national prominence. Miami has been a popular public team for decades. So, if anything, the line may be a little inflated, if you’re getting it a -3.5. The Hurricanes certainly have the talent advantage to cover the number, but can they limit their mistakes in a hostile environment? Randy Shannon’s team hasn’t proved that, yet.

THE LINE

Miami opened at -3.5. The number hadn’t move significantly as of Wednesday. Pittsburgh is on a 7-3 ATS run at home.

THE TOTAL

Bettors, likely sharp, pounced when the total opened up at 54 online. It’s all the way down to 50.5 at most books.

Miami is averaging 34.5 points per game, but scored only one offensive touchdown against Ohio State. The Hurricanes are 16th in the nation in total defense. Pittsburgh is averaging 32.5 points per game, but its offense hasn’t been consistent. The Panthers are surrendering an average of just less than 22 points per game.

Recently against ACC competition, The Panthers lost a 38-31 to North Carolina State last year and won a defensive battle, 19-7, against North Carolina in the Meinke Car Care Bowl.

Recently against the Big East, Miami went on the road and hammered South Florida 31-10 last season.

The under is 7-0 in the Hurricanes’ last seven vs. Big East and 37-16 in last 53 non-conference games. The under is 10-4 in the Panthers’ last 14 home games.

Weather isn’t expected to impact the game.

INJURY REPORT

Pittsburgh is a banged-up football team that will be without its best player in Romeus. The 2009 Big East of Defensive Player of the Year, Romeus had surgery on his back and is expected to miss the majority of the season. That leaves the Panthers with a patchwork defensive front.

In addition, starting linebacker Dan Mason has been demoted due to an off-the-field incident that caused three reserves to be suspended for Thursday’s game.

The ’Canes’ most significant injury concern is starting defensive tackle Marcus Robinson, who is questionable with an ankle injury he suffered against Ohio State.

SPECIAL TEAMS

Miami has potent kick returners in Lamar Miller and Travis Benjamin. Both scored touchdowns on returns against Ohio State. The Hurricanes lead the nation in punt returns at 27.5 yards.

Pittsburgh counters with the nation’s second-best punting unit, led by punter Dan Hutchins, who is averaging 48 points per kick.

LINE OF SCRIMMAGE BATTLE

Pittsburgh entered the season with major questions on the offensive line. Those questions have yet to be answered. That’s not a good sign against a Miami defense that leads the nation in tackles for loss and is second in sacks.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Betting Preview: Miami FL Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Panthers
By Christian Alexander

Matchup: #19 Miami (Fla.) (1-1, 0-0 ACC) at Pittsburgh (1-1, 0-0 Big East)
TV: 7:30 PM ESPN
Venue: Heinz Field (grass)
Sports.com Line: Miami -4 O/U 55

Last week we witnessed the Cincinnati Bearcats, Big East Champions from 2009, get manhandled on the road in the ACC by the N.C. State Wolfpack. This week presents the opportunity for the Big East to get a measure of payback on the ACC as we head north to watch the Pittsburgh Panthers, play host to the Miami Hurricanes of the ACC.

For Pittsburgh, the preseason favorite to win the Big East, it has not been a good start to the season. The Panthers opened on the road at Utah, full of confidence with national ranking (#15) and a tailback (Dion Lewis) who was squarely in the Heisman conversation to start the year.

However, demonstrating how quickly things can turn, just two weeks later, Pittsburgh finds itself lacking confidence, searching for an identity and trying to keep players healthy and out of trouble.

It all started with a 27-24 overtime loss at Utah to open the season; certainly forgivable considering how tough the Utes are, especially at home. The Panthers then followed up that loss with a very uninspiring win over New Hampshire in which Lewis gained just 27 yards on 10 carries.

Then the personnel hits started.

First there was the news that the 2009 Big East co-defensive player of the year, defensive end Greg Romeus, will likely miss the rest of the season after having surgery to repair a disc in his lower back.

As Coach Dave Wannstedt was dealing with that loss he also had to deal with off-the-field matters as running back Jason Douglas and offensive lineman Keith Coleman were suspended indefinitely after being arrested for a DUI and aggravated assault respectively.

And so three weeks to the day after starting the season on a Thursday night in Utah, Pittsburgh must figure out a way to get Lewis (102 yards on 35 carries) on track, make up for the loss of their best defender, while also regaining the team’s focus after the off-the-field distractions.

You’ll excuse Coach Randy Shannon if he doesn’t have much sympathy for the plight of the Panthers. The head man for the University of Miami is hoping his team to get his team headed back in the right direction after a disheartening loss at Ohio State.

Clearly, a loss to the Buckeyes at the “Horseshoe” is nothing to hang your head about but that said, the way Miami squandered opportunity after opportunity in a 36-24 defeat to OSU has many in the program feeling a hangover. And no one has a bigger headache from the loss than QB Jacory Harris.

The Miami signal caller was intercepted four times, a career-high for the junior, in a game that saw the Hurricanes commit eight penalties. Now Shannon must get his team to quickly clean up their act and travel to face a Pittsburgh team who is equally motivated for a win. There will definitely be a sense of urgency in the air this Thursday night on both sidelines as neither team wants to dip below .500 for the year.

The Panthers will look to Lewis, and his backup Ray Graham, to drive the offense but that pair of sophomores will clearly need help from QB Tino Sunseri – who is starting just his third collegiate game –in order to move the ball and score points against a tough Miami defense.

For the Hurricanes it will be about eliminating mistakes. If Harris can eliminate mistakes, and get the ball to weapons such as WR’s Leonard Hankerson and LaRon Byrd, then Miami can pile up points at a fast clip. Already this season the Hurricanes have four touchdown drives that have lasted less than two minutes, including one against Ohio State.

There is a pretty decent chunk of history between these two schools that used to compete against one another in the Big East. Pittsburgh would be just fine erasing most of that history as Miami has owned the Panthers to a 20-9-1 tune since these two began playing in 1950.

Pittsburgh and Miami haven’t played since 2003 – the last year Miami was in the Big East – but the Hurricanes are on a six-game winning streak in this series. The most ominous stat for the home team this Thursday night might be that the Panthers are 1-10 against ranked, non-conference opponents since 1996.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SCOTT DELANEY

COLLEGE GAME OF THE YEAR
100 DIME Miami Hurricanes (Miami-FL)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

STEVE BUDIN
GREEK SYNDICATE

THURSDAY NIGHT TV GAME OF THE YEAR
25 DIME Miami Florida Hurricanes

Note: As I released this play late Tuesday night the line stood at - 3.5 and recommend buying the hook as always

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BIGFELLA SPORTS

$5 ATM PLAY Miami Hurricanes -2½ (FH)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BASEBALL CRUSHER
POD

Milwaukee Brewers (-136) over Florida Marlins

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF DUNKEL INDEX

Miami (FL) at Pittsburgh
The Panthers look to take advantage of a Miami team that is coming off a loss to Ohio State and is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games following a SU defeat. Pittsburgh is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Panthers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+3). Here are all of this week's lined games.

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 23

Game 301-302: Miami (FL) at Pittsburgh (7:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 97.510; Pittsburgh 99.057
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 3; 51
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+3); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB DUNKEL

Colorado at Arizona
The Rockies look to build on their 8-1 record in their last 9 games after dropping the first 2 games of a series. Colorado is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockies favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-110). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 23

Game 901-902: St. Louis at Pittsburgh (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Suppan) 13.272; Pittsburgh (Burres) 14.958
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-120); Over

Game 903-904: Houston at Washington (4:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Figueroa) 15.521; Washington (Detwiler) 14.644
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+105); Under

Game 905-906: San Francisco at Chicago Cubs (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.986; Cubs (Dempster) 16.395
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-110); Under

Game 907-908: Florida at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Sanchez) 16.058; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.087
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+120); Over

Game 909-910: Colorado at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Francis) 15.694; Arizona (Kennedy) 14.060
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-110); Over

Game 911-912: San Diego at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Latos) 14.969; LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 13.545
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-115); Under

Game 913-914: Seattle at Toronto (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 13.613; Toronto (Hill) 15.115
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+115); Over

Game 915-916: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 15.293; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.780
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-140); Under

Game 917-918: Kansas City at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (O'Sullivan) 15.238; Cleveland (Talbot) 14.323
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+120); Over

Game 919-920: Texas at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lee) 16.871; Oakland (Braden) 15.635
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Texas (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-135); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty won with the Tigers Wednesday night.

Thursday it's Miami-Florida. The deficit is 65 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo's inexorable march toward 3,000 dragged on last night in El Bronx where the Rays stormed past the Yankees to raise the NRN (nasty red num ber) to 2,470 armsteads.

Tonight, a confident confidant strongly urges a roll of the dice with Miami over the Pitts, so Mr. Aitch will blow 10 units on the Hurricanes. Also, he'll throw another 10 on CC and the Yanks.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
517 - 379 run 58 %

Bonus Play Thurs Texas -130

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

Bonus Play Texas -130

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI

Thursday, September 23, 2010
FBS Non-Conference
PITTSBURGH 29, Miami (Fla.) 23

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ben lee won again (6 in a row) on Wednesday with his "Pure Chalk" play on the Tigers -$220/Royals.

"Mr Chalk" like's two for Thursday the Brewers -$140/Marlins and the Diamondbacks Pk/Rockies.

"Mr Chalk" is 99-71 -$1730 for the 2010 MLB season.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Pittsburgh CFB

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 7 runs bet. San Diego and Dodgers